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DAY 118 — IAEA CHIEF RAFAEL GROSSI BREAKS THE INSPECTION DEADLOCK WITH THE AGENCY’S FIRMEST REMARKS YET: THE ACCORD SAYS IRAN’S NUCLEAR MATERIAL AND FACILITIES WILL BE SUPERVISED BY THE IAEA “IN ALL LETTERS … OBVIOUSLY, TO DO THAT, WE WILL HAVE TO INSPECT — WHETHER THIS HAPPENS THE DAY AFTER TOMORROW OR IN 10 DAYS, IT’S IMPORTANT, BUT NOT ESSENTIAL — THIS IS GOING TO HAPPEN” — BUT IRAN’S DEPUTY FM GHARIBABADI INSISTS ANY VISIT WILL BE DECIDED “ONLY WITHIN THE FRAMEWORK OF A FINAL AGREEMENT” AND TAKES A SWIPE AT GROSSI (“YOU CANNOT ADVANCE THE ‘STIR UP AND TAKE OVER’ POLICY WITH MEDIA HYPE”) — THE UN’S HORMUZ EVACUATION OF 11,000+ STRANDED SEAFARERS (~600 SHIPS) GETS UNDERWAY VIA OMAN’S TEMPORARY CORRIDOR, AIMING FOR ~50 VESSELS/DAY OVER “A FEW WEEKS,” AND BRENT CRUDE FALLS 3.1% TO ~$74.73 — THE US SENATE PASSES A WAR-POWERS RESOLUTION 50-48 (FOUR REPUBLICANS CROSS OVER); TRUMP CALLS IT “POORLY TIMED AND MEANINGLESS” — ISRAEL LAUNCHES ITS FIRST AIRSTRIKE ON LEBANON SINCE SATURDAY’S CEASEFIRE, KILLING 2, AND NETANYAHU VOWS TO HOLD THE SOUTHERN LEBANON SECURITY ZONE “AS LONG AS I AM PRIME MINISTER”

JUNE 24 (DAY 118) — IAEA Chief Grossi Breaks the Deadlock: “Inspections Will Happen … Whether the Day After Tomorrow or in 10 Days, It’s Important, but Not Essential — This Is Going to Happen,” While Iran Insists Any Visit Comes Only After a Final Deal; the Hormuz Evacuation of 11,000+ Stranded Seafarers Gets Underway via Oman’s Corridor and Brent Falls to ~$75; the US Senate Passes a War-Powers Resolution Trump Calls “Meaningless”; Israel Strikes Lebanon Again as Netanyahu Vows to Hold the Security Zone

On June 24, 2026 (Day 118 of the Iran-Israel-US war, Operation Epic Fury / Wednesday), the neutral arbiter of the deal’s hardest question weighed in, narrowing the nuclear-inspection dispute from whether to when. THE BREAKTHROUGH: International Atomic Energy Agency Director-General Rafael Grossi delivered the agency’s firmest remarks yet, saying Iranian nuclear enrichment sites would be visited by his inspectors as part of the interim deal: the accord “says explicitly that the nuclear activities … will be supervised by the IAEA — in all letters,” and “obviously, to do that, we will have to inspect. Whether this happens the day after tomorrow or in one week or in 10 days, it’s important, but not essential. This is going to happen” (NPR, CBS, PBS/AP). IRAN’S CAVEAT: an Iranian diplomat, deputy foreign minister Kazem Gharibabadi, insisted any such visit would come only after a final deal, took a swipe at Grossi — noting Tehran did not meet him in Switzerland — and wrote that the issues “will be reviewed and decided only within the framework of a final agreement and as a result of practical action by the other side to end all sanctions,” adding: “you cannot advance the ‘stir up and take over’ policy with media hype.” Grossi acknowledged the “war of words.” THE STAKES: without access to the enrichment sites the IAEA cannot verify the status of Iran’s stockpile; both Iran and the agency say Tehran has not been enriching, but experts worry it may be moving the material — Iran is believed to hold enough highly enriched uranium to potentially build as many as 10 weapons and is the only country enriching to 60% without a weapons program (NPR, PBS). Trump said US inspectors would join the IAEA, “they’ve agreed to the inspectors,” with no rush. HORMUZ: the practical reopening accelerated — the head of the IMO said the evacuation of more than 11,000 sailors stranded on about 600 ships would take “a few weeks,” aiming to move roughly 50 vessels a day via the temporary corridor Oman opened along its coastline (south of the historic, believed-mined central lanes), and CBS tracked dozens of commercial vessels transiting Wednesday; Brent crude slid 3.1% to $74.73, extending its fall since the MOU. Trump posted that Iran told the US there are “NO TOLLS, NO INSURANCE COSTS … being sought or received by Iran” — though he omitted Iran and Oman’s stated plan to manage future traffic, which they have said could involve “costs.” POLITICS: the US Senate passed a war-powers resolution 50-48 to limit US military involvement in Iran (four Republicans — Paul, Murkowski, Collins, Cassidy — crossing over, with Fetterman the lone Democrat against); Trump called it “poorly timed and meaningless,” saying he has Iran “on the ropes.” LEBANON: the fighting that threatens the diplomacy flared again — Israel launched its first airstrike on Lebanon since Saturday’s ceasefire, the IDF saying it struck two armed Hezbollah members on the Ali Taher Ridge near its security zone; two people were killed per Lebanon’s news agency. Israeli Defense Minister Katz said the US has not demanded that Israel withdraw from Lebanon, and Netanyahu declared that “as long as I am Prime Minister, we will maintain the security zone in southern Lebanon.” Mediator Pakistan said the 60-day US-Iran negotiations would likely resume next week, and Secretary of State Rubio met the UAE’s president in Abu Dhabi before heading to Bahrain and the GCC. Net assessment: Day 118 moved the nuclear dispute forward — the IAEA confirmed inspections will happen in principle while Iran retained control of the timing — and the Hormuz reopening advanced materially, even as Israel’s Lebanon strikes and Netanyahu’s security-zone vow kept the deal’s one structural fault line open heading into next week’s resumed talks.
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09:00 UTC Diplomacy Tokyo / Vienna

IAEA Chief Grossi: Iran’s Enrichment Sites Will Be Inspected — “This Is Going to Happen,” Timing “Not Essential”

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International Atomic Energy Agency Director-General Rafael Grossi said Wednesday that Iranian nuclear enrichment sites would be visited by his inspectors as part of the interim US-Iran deal — the agency’s firmest remarks yet (NPR, CBS, PBS/AP). The accord “says explicitly that the nuclear activities that are going to be carried out with regards to the nuclear material facilities will be supervised by the IAEA — in all letters,” he said. “Obviously, to do that, we will have to inspect. Whether this happens the day after tomorrow or in one week or in 10 days, it’s important, but not essential. This is going to happen.” Grossi acknowledged the “war of words” over Iran’s program.
Tokyo / Vienna
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16, 185, 129
NPR + CBS + PBS/AP June 24: IAEA chief Grossi - Iran enrichment sites will be inspected, accord supervised by IAEA 'in all letters'; 'this is going to happen', timing 'not essential'.
11:00 UTC Diplomacy Tehran

Iran Counters: Any Inspection Comes Only After a Final Deal; Gharibabadi Swipes at Grossi Over “Media Hype”

State Media
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Iranian deputy foreign minister Kazem Gharibabadi insisted any IAEA visit would come only after a final deal, took a swipe at Grossi — noting Tehran did not meet him while in Switzerland — and wrote on X that the issues “will be reviewed and decided only within the framework of a final agreement and as a result of practical action by the other side to end all sanctions and other measures” (NPR). He added: “you cannot advance the ‘stir up and take over’ policy with media hype.” Iran’s position narrows the dispute to timing and sequencing rather than whether inspections will occur.
Tehran
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245, 158, 11
NPR June 24: Iran dep FM Gharibabadi - inspections only 'within framework of a final agreement' + after sanctions end; swipes at Grossi, 'can't advance stir up and take over with media hype'. Iranian-sourced.
12:00 UTC Assessment Vienna

The Verification Stakes: Without Site Access the IAEA Can’t Verify Iran’s Stockpile — Enough HEU for Up to ~10 Weapons

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Without accessing the enrichment sites, the IAEA says it cannot verify the status of Iran’s stockpile (NPR, PBS). Both Iran and the agency say Tehran has not been enriching uranium, but nonproliferation experts worry the Islamic Republic may be moving its stockpile while inspectors are kept out. Iran is believed to store enough highly enriched uranium to potentially build as many as 10 nuclear weapons, should it choose, and is the only country in the world to have enriched uranium up to 60% purity without a weapons program. Iran maintains its program is peaceful. The deal calls for the uranium to be “downblended” from highly enriched levels.
Vienna
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var(--air)
245, 158, 11
NPR + PBS June 24: without site access IAEA can't verify Iran stockpile; experts fear material being moved; Iran believed to hold HEU for ~10 weapons; only country at 60% without weapons program.
14:00 UTC Statement Washington

Trump: US Inspectors Will Join the IAEA in Iran — “They’ve Agreed to the Inspectors,” No Rush

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President Trump told Fox News that US inspectors will join the IAEA when it goes into Iran to review the country’s nuclear sites, reiterating that Tehran had agreed despite its denials: “they’ve agreed to it, they’ve agreed to the inspectors” (Fox). Of Iran’s public denials he said, “they’ll make a deal, put it in writing, then they’ll go out and say it’s not true.” The president again said there was no rush to get inspectors in, echoing his “appropriate time” framing from a day earlier.
Washington
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245, 158, 11
Fox June 24: Trump says US inspectors will join IAEA in Iran, 'they've agreed to the inspectors'; no rush; 'they'll make a deal, put it in writing, then say it's not true'.
10:00 UTC Humanitarian Strait of Hormuz / Muscat

Hormuz Evacuation Underway: ~600 Ships and 11,000+ Sailors to Be Moved Over “a Few Weeks,” ~50 Vessels a Day via Oman’s Corridor

Verified
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The head of the International Maritime Organization, secretary-general Arsenio Dominguez, said the evacuation of more than 11,000 sailors stranded on about 600 ships since the start of the conflict would take “a few weeks,” with the UN agency aiming to move roughly 50 vessels a day after beginning the operation Tuesday (CBS). CBS tracked dozens of commercial vessels making the transit Wednesday via the temporary corridor Oman authorized along its coastline — south of the historic central shipping lanes, which are believed to be mined.
Strait of Hormuz / Muscat
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16, 185, 129
CBS June 24: IMO chief Dominguez - evacuation of 11,000+ sailors on ~600 ships will take 'a few weeks', aiming ~50 vessels/day; dozens transit Wed via Oman corridor (south of mined central lanes).
13:00 UTC Economic Global markets

Brent Crude Falls 3.1% to ~$74.73, Extending Its Decline Since the MOU as Hormuz Reopens

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Brent crude slid 3.1% to $74.73, extending its fall since the United States and Iran signed the memorandum of understanding last week and began the process of reopening the Strait of Hormuz (CBS). The continued slide in oil prices reflects markets pricing in the chokepoint’s gradual normalization — the practical, physical dividend of the deal — even as the nuclear and Lebanon disputes play out loudly in public.
Global markets
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16, 185, 129
CBS June 24: Brent crude falls 3.1% to $74.73, extending decline since MOU as Hormuz reopens.
15:00 UTC Statement Washington

Trump Posts “NO TOLLS, NO INSURANCE COSTS” on Hormuz — but Omits Iran and Oman’s Stated Future “Costs” Plan

OSINT
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President Trump declared on Truth Social that “Iran has informed the U.S. that, despite troublemaking Fake News reporting to the contrary, there are ‘NO TOLLS, NO INSURANCE COSTS, & NO OTHER CHARGES OF ANY KIND BEING SOUGHT OR RECEIVED BY IRAN ON SHIPS TRAVELING THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ,’” adding “if this is false information, negotiations would end, immediately!” (CBS). He did not mention Iran and Oman’s stated plan to jointly manage future traffic through the strait, which Tehran and Muscat have said could involve “costs” for shippers — leaving the long-term tolling question unresolved.
Washington
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245, 158, 11
CBS June 24: Trump posts Iran says 'NO TOLLS, NO INSURANCE COSTS' on Hormuz, 'if false, negotiations end immediately'; but omits Iran-Oman stated future 'costs' plan. Framing gap noted.
18:00 UTC Political Washington

US Senate Passes a War-Powers Resolution 50-48 to Limit Military Action on Iran — Trump: “Poorly Timed and Meaningless”

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The US Senate voted 50-48 to back legislation aimed at limiting US military involvement in Iran, with four Republicans — Rand Paul, Lisa Murkowski, Susan Collins and Bill Cassidy — joining most Democrats, while John Fetterman was the lone Democrat against (Fox). The measure, which previously passed the House, drew a sharp rebuke from Trump, who called it “poorly timed and meaningless,” saying he has Iran “on the ropes … willing to give us practically anything.” The resolution imposes a domestic political constraint on the administration’s threatened military fallback.
Washington
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var(--air)
245, 158, 11
Fox June 24: US Senate passes war-powers resolution 50-48 limiting military action on Iran; 4 Republicans (Paul/Murkowski/Collins/Cassidy) cross over, Fetterman lone D against; Trump 'poorly timed and meaningless'.
07:00 UTC Military Ali Taher Ridge, S. Lebanon

Israel Launches Its First Airstrike on Lebanon Since Saturday’s Ceasefire — Strikes 2 “Armed Hezbollah” on the Ali Taher Ridge, 2 Killed

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Israel launched an airstrike that killed two people in southern Lebanon, the country’s state-run news agency said — Israel’s first airstrike on Lebanon since the latest ceasefire took effect on Saturday (CBS, PBS). The Israel Defense Forces said Golani Reconnaissance Unit forces operating on the Ali Taher Ridge identified two armed Hezbollah members who posed a threat to troops in the security zone, and that the air force and soldiers struck them to remove the threat. The strike, the first since the truce, underscores how fragile the Lebanon ceasefire that anchors the broader deal remains.
Ali Taher Ridge, S. Lebanon
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var(--hostile)
239, 68, 68
CBS + PBS + Fox/IDF June 24: Israel's first airstrike on Lebanon since Saturday ceasefire; IDF strikes 2 'armed Hezbollah' on Ali Taher Ridge near security zone; 2 killed (Lebanese NNA).
16:00 UTC Statement Jerusalem

Katz: the US Has Not Demanded Israel Withdraw From Lebanon — Contradicting Iran’s Claim It’s a Deal Term

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Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz said Wednesday that the United States has not demanded that Israel withdraw its troops from southern Lebanon — a condition Iran has said was set as part of the ceasefire framework (CBS, PBS). The statement directly contradicts Iran’s position that the MOU’s call to end operations in Lebanon requires an Israeli pullout, and it exposes the central ambiguity: the deal calls for respect of Lebanese sovereignty and a halt to operations, but the US and Israel read that as compatible with Israel holding the security zone.
Jerusalem
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var(--hostile)
239, 68, 68
CBS + PBS June 24: Israeli DM Katz says US has NOT demanded Israel withdraw from Lebanon (a condition Iran claims is in ceasefire framework). Contradicts Iran's read of the deal.
16:30 UTC Statement Jerusalem

Netanyahu: “As Long As I Am Prime Minister, We Will Maintain the Security Zone in Southern Lebanon”

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Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu declared that “as long as I am Prime Minister, we will maintain the security zone in southern Lebanon” (CBS, PBS). Israeli forces currently occupy an area spanning the northern border and extending roughly six miles into Lebanese territory, and Israeli leaders say the zone will be held — and expelled residents barred from returning — until the threat from Iranian-backed Hezbollah is removed. The vow reaffirms the structural obstacle to the full Lebanon ceasefire Iran demands, since Israel is not a party to the US-Iran deal.
Jerusalem
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var(--hostile)
239, 68, 68
CBS + PBS June 24: Netanyahu - 'as long as I am Prime Minister, we will maintain the security zone in southern Lebanon'; IDF holds ~6 miles in, residents barred until Hezbollah threat removed.
19:00 UTC Diplomacy Islamabad / Abu Dhabi

Mediator Pakistan: 60-Day US-Iran Talks Likely Resume Next Week; Rubio Meets the UAE’s President in Abu Dhabi

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Mediator Pakistan said Wednesday that the 60-day US-Iran negotiations initiated by the memorandum of understanding would likely resume next week (CBS). Meanwhile Secretary of State Marco Rubio met UAE President Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan in Abu Dhabi, discussing “President Trump’s MOU with Iran, efforts to secure full and safe transit through the Strait of Hormuz, and regional stability,” before heading to Bahrain to meet the Gulf Cooperation Council — part of a Gulf tour reassuring states pummeled by Iranian strikes during the war.
Islamabad / Abu Dhabi
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var(--verified)
16, 185, 129
CBS + Fox June 24: Pakistan says 60-day US-Iran talks likely resume next week; Rubio meets UAE's MBZ in Abu Dhabi on MOU + Hormuz transit, heading to Bahrain/GCC.
Strategic Assessment

Day 118 is the day the neutral arbiter spoke, and it narrowed the deal’s hardest dispute from “whether” to “when.” For two days Trump and Iran made mutually exclusive claims about whether Iran had agreed to IAEA inspections. Grossi — who answers to neither — cut through it: the accord commits Iran’s nuclear material to IAEA supervision “in all letters,” inspection follows by necessity, and “this is going to happen.” That is the single most clarifying statement since the MOU was signed, because it moves the question off the propaganda battlefield and onto the agency’s institutional record. Iran’s counter — inspections only “within the framework of a final agreement” — is not a denial that they will happen; it is a bid to control their timing and price them against sanctions relief. The gap is now about sequencing, which is negotiable, rather than existence, which is not.

The substance underneath the verification fight is the real reason it matters. Without access to the enrichment sites the IAEA cannot confirm where Iran’s highly enriched uranium is — enough, by common estimates, for up to ten weapons — and the worry is not enrichment continuing but the stockpile being moved while inspectors are kept out. Every day the visit is deferred is a day the most dangerous material in the deal is unverified. That is why Grossi’s “not essential” on timing is doing diplomatic work: he is lowering the temperature to keep the inspection alive, not signaling indifference. The decisive test remains unchanged — inspectors physically at the sites — but the principle is now on firmer ground than at any point this week.

Meanwhile the parts of the deal that do not depend on Iranian good faith kept delivering. The Hormuz evacuation of 11,000 seafarers is underway through Oman’s corridor, Brent has fallen to the mid-$70s as traffic normalizes, and Pakistan says the formal talks resume next week. These are the deal working on physics and logistics, which is where it is strongest. The one fault line that has threatened it since Day 108 — Lebanon — stayed open: Israel’s first strike since Saturday, Katz’s claim the US never demanded withdrawal, and Netanyahu’s “as long as I am Prime Minister” vow on the security zone together confirm the US cannot deliver the Lebanon ceasefire Iran treats as integral, because the combatant is a non-signatory. The Senate’s war-powers vote adds a domestic constraint on Trump’s maximalist fallback. Watch items into Day 119 and next week: whether an inspection date actually materializes, whether Lebanon stays at low-level tit-for-tat or escalates, whether Brent keeps sliding as evacuation clears the strait, and whether the resumed talks convert the roadmap into a final-deal text.

FAQ — Day 118

What happened on Day 118 of the Iran-Israel-US war (2026-06-24)?

On June 24, 2026 (Day 118, Wednesday), the IAEA broke the inspection deadlock. Agency chief Rafael Grossi said Iran’s nuclear enrichment sites would be inspected as part of the deal — “this is going to happen” — though the timing was “not essential.” Iran countered that any visit would come only after a final deal, with a deputy foreign minister swiping at Grossi over “media hype.” On the Strait of Hormuz, the UN’s evacuation of more than 11,000 stranded sailors on about 600 ships got underway via Oman’s temporary corridor (aiming for ~50 vessels a day over a few weeks), and Brent crude fell 3.1% to about $74.73. The US Senate passed a war-powers resolution 50-48 to limit military action on Iran, which Trump called “poorly timed and meaningless.” Israel launched its first airstrike on Lebanon since Saturday’s ceasefire, killing two, and Netanyahu vowed to hold the southern Lebanon security zone “as long as I am Prime Minister.” Pakistan said the talks would likely resume next week.

Will IAEA inspectors actually go into Iran?

According to the IAEA, yes — but the timing is disputed. On June 24, 2026, agency chief Rafael Grossi gave the firmest confirmation yet, saying the deal explicitly places Iran’s nuclear material and facilities under IAEA supervision and that inspections will therefore happen — “whether the day after tomorrow or in 10 days … this is going to happen.” Iran does not deny inspections will occur but insists they will come only after a final agreement is reached and sanctions are lifted, framing it as a sequencing question tied to its leverage. The stakes are high: without access to the enrichment sites the IAEA cannot verify Iran’s highly enriched uranium stockpile — believed large enough for up to about 10 weapons — and nonproliferation experts worry the material could be moved while inspectors are kept out. The decisive test remains inspectors physically reaching the sites; as of Day 118 the principle is confirmed but no date has been set.

Is the Strait of Hormuz reopening and are oil prices falling?

Yes to both, as of June 24, 2026. The practical reopening is accelerating: the UN’s International Maritime Organization began evacuating more than 11,000 sailors stranded on about 600 ships, a process expected to take a few weeks at roughly 50 vessels a day, using a temporary corridor Oman opened along its coastline (south of the historic central lanes, which are believed to be mined). Dozens of commercial vessels transited on Wednesday. Oil prices have fallen accordingly — Brent crude slid 3.1% to about $74.73, extending its decline since the memorandum of understanding was signed. A dispute over money continues in the background: Trump posted that Iran assured the US there are “no tolls, no insurance costs” on Hormuz traffic, but Iran and Oman have separately said their plan to jointly manage the strait’s future could involve “costs” for shippers, leaving long-term tolling unresolved.

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